Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.594022 1.817601 2.060834 2.345052 2.668029 3.023633 3.444888
2025-10-26 1.231817 1.532263 1.887792 2.339364 2.897645 3.565327 4.424866
2025-11-02 1.033923 1.366109 1.782776 2.343468 3.078236 4.008603 5.277006
2025-11-09 0.874651 1.214572 1.661880 2.293091 3.160827 4.312231 5.957583
2025-11-16 0.774454 1.122901 1.600915 2.303844 3.311105 4.702949 6.774531
2025-11-23 0.701199 1.056837 1.563254 2.335965 3.485102 5.131611 7.673045
2025-11-30 0.628469 0.981485 1.501654 2.322675 3.585887 5.456886 8.442573
2025-12-07 0.559395 0.902975 1.425591 2.276839 3.628575 5.693273 9.091391
2025-12-14 0.496298 0.826396 1.343716 2.211594 3.631167 5.862949 9.643893
2025-12-21 0.450457 0.772344 1.291181 2.186152 3.691418 6.123006 10.356058
2025-12-28 0.429997 0.757875 1.300544 2.261452 3.920552 6.669871 11.580000
2026-01-04 0.394456 0.713945 1.256374 2.241365 3.985481 6.947408 12.368837
2026-01-11 0.372270 0.694738 1.258538 2.312488 4.233683 7.589664 13.908450
2026-01-18 0.339041 0.652781 1.217973 2.306221 4.349419 8.022361 15.139538
2026-01-25 0.311491 0.617850 1.185700 2.310293 4.481960 8.493835 16.483174
2026-02-01 0.280371 0.572338 1.128608 2.260621 4.506734 8.766717 17.476550
2026-02-08 0.260056 0.545672 1.104356 2.271224 4.647311 9.268447 18.957333
2026-02-15 0.244159 0.526073 1.091666 2.302894 4.831605 9.869789 20.691554
2026-02-22 0.225258 0.498034 1.058958 2.289791 4.922521 10.292525 22.101176
2026-03-01 0.205275 0.465416 1.013368 2.244597 4.941114 10.568298 23.228551
2026-03-08 0.185698 0.431491 0.961497 2.180268 4.911640 10.739778 24.147217
2026-03-15 0.171347 0.407720 0.929105 2.155182 4.964769 11.090089 25.487490
2026-03-22 0.165937 0.403940 0.940451 2.229426 5.246734 11.961613 28.072739